If you have a minute, it's worth checking out Bernie Hart's supply chain risk predictions for 2007 over on Electronic Supply & Manufacturing. Bernie is head of global product development at JPMorgan Chase Vastera. It's not surprising -- especially given his firm's global trade software focus -- that Bernie's recommendations largely focus on tariff / code changes, import security, and environmental issues. But personally, I believe that global economic risk -- especially how slight changes in demand patterns could create a bull-whip or reverse bull-whip effect on developing suppliers who won't be able to survive crunch periods on the downside -- could pose the most significant supply risks in 2007 of all. And that's not even mentioning the currency card or Chinese banking risk, either. Still, if you're in the global import/export and customs business -- or even if you're pursuing global sourcing strategies from the procurement angle -- it's worth boning up on the trade perspective on the issues.