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What Happens When Machine Learning Finance Models Fail

These are some strange times. Look, we have $16 trillion of negative yielding bonds, that’s T, for trillion. I’m asked by non-financial people why anyone would want to buy negative yields (you pay to hold them, btw) and I reply, it’s not about income, it’s about trading that rates will fall further.

Which got me thinking: If we are in some liquidity trap world and negative interest rate environment, what does that do to all these invoice financial models being built using the latest and greatest in artificial intelligence and machine learning?

The Fallacy of Non-Recourse Invoice Finance

In life it is important to distinguish between marketing and reality. When it comes to invoice finance, one marketing myth that has persisted is that non-recourse invoice finance shifts payment risk from seller to funder. Unfortunately, non-recourse factoring is one of the most misunderstood subjects in commercial lending. As a result, companies undertaking some form of invoice finance, receivable finance or factoring tend to have the wrong expectation about this product, potentially incurring unnecessary costs and not truly understanding the credit-risk relationship.

The Rise (and Rise) of Supplier Networks: The Comet Coming?

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The world of trade finance has traditionally been served by the documentary letter of credit for hundreds of years. The associated management of risk and financing services has hitherto been the exclusive domain of the financial services industry, comprising both banks and to some extent specialist non-bank financial institutions. As we enter 2015, it is increasingly clear that as in other areas of financial services, the business of trade finance is exposed to the competitive threat of non-traditional service providers, including those in the financial technology sector who are well positioned to take advantage of new supply chain logistics and other trade-related platforms through the provision of new products and services underpinned by new business models. Find out what the future has in store with this free, new downloadable piece of research from Trade Financing Matters.